Trading The Economic Reports Like The Non Farm Payroll Report Can Be Highly Profitable
March 5, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Forex Tactics
Economics is the most important subject in the lives of individual, companies and countries. A ton of economic reports get released daily for the consumption of the markets. Some of these economic reports have the potential of moving the markets in a big way. For some forex, futures and options traders, trading these economic reports is a way of life. Each market has got its own favorite reports. But some reports have the potential of moving almost all the markets.
The most market moving reports are the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, The Consumer and the Producer Price Index, The Gross Domestic Product (GDP). the monthly Employment Reports or what you call the NFP Report, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). Now as said before if these reports have no surprise for the markets, nothing will happen. But in case if there is a surprise, markets can turn upside down in matter of minutes! Now when these economic reports are released, market compares the expected with the unexpected. The more these reports have the element of the unexpected, the more the markets become nervous. So, if you are a news trader or an economic report trader, you need to watch CNBC and Bloomberg constantly to know what the market is expecting.
Now, you can know the date of release of these economic reports by looking at the Economic Calendar. By looking at the Economic Calendar, you can know these dates as it provides the listing of dates when these reports will be released. Each month, most of these reports are released by the different agencies that includes both public as well as private at fixed dates.
Not all reports are created equal. Some economic reports have more influence on the market than others. The most important reports that tend to move the markets a lot are the employment report, the Producer Price Index (PPI), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes.
There are NFP Report Traders who easily make 150-200 pips at this time within minutes. Now, Non Farm Payroll Report or what you call the NFP Report is the most market moving report in the recent times. This report is released by the US DOL (Department of Labor) and it gives the state of employment in the economy during the last month period. It is released on the first Friday of each month exactly at 8:30 AM EST.
The release of employment figures is usually followed by frenzied trading that can last from a few minutes to the entire day depending on what the data shows and what the market was expecting.
Now, as the economy shifts gear from slow growth to high growth the state of employment figures can become highly important for the economy. This report is used by the traders, investors and Wall Street Analyst to anticipate any interest rate changes in the economy. In the end, it is the interest rates that stand at the center of the financial universe! NFP Report has become important in the last few years keeping in view the slow economic growth.
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Harami And The Harami Cross Candlestick Patterns Can Make You Rich!
February 27, 2010 by Hassam Ahmad
Filed under Forex Broker
Candlestick charting is a very powerful tool in the trading arsenal of any trader. There are many candlestick patterns that can signal the continuation of a trend or the reversal of a trend. Some candlestick patterns are simple like the single stick patterns. While other candlestick patterns are complex like the two stick or the three stick patterns. A Harami pattern is a two stick pattern that takes two days to form on a daily chart. It is can bullish as well as bearish. A Harami is formed when the first day candle is longer than the second day candle.
A bullish Harami is formed in a downtrend when the first day candle is very bearish. But on the second day, the bulls come into play and beat the bears out of the market by taking the prices higher. However, the bulls are not completely successful and the second day is still lower than the first day open and the first day high is not crossed. But this is an important signal that bulls are now active and trying to take hold of the market. This means that the downtrend will be soon over and an uptrend is about to start.
On the second day when the Harami is formed, the bears are still slightly ahead of the bulls at the start of trading. The open is higher than the close of the last day. However, the bulls close the day higher than the open.
What this means is that the bulls are still cautious about their success and fear that the bears might return to take the prices lower again. However, when this does not happen, it gives confidence to the bulls encouraging more buying in the market and the reversal of the trend.
Just like with other candlestick patterns, a Harami pattern can fail. So to be on the safe side when trading on the Harami, place the stop loss close to the open of the second day or what you call the signal day.
Harami pattern has got few variations. On of them is the Bullish Harami Cross Pattern. The first day in case of a Bullish Harami Cross is a bearish candle. The signal day or the second day is a Bullish Doji with an open higher than the close of the first day and the close lower than the open of the first day. Now,a Bullish Harami Cross is not formed very frequently. But when it does form, it means an sudden trend reversal. So you should act immediatetly when you spot it.
The bearish Harami Pattern is the other way around. The first day candle is bullish but the second day candle is bearish with the open lower than the close of the first day and the close higher than the open of the first day. But this means is that bears have taken over the market and soon a new downtrend is going to develop.
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How Momentum Investing Can Make You Rich?
February 27, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Forex Trading
There is a difference between trading and investing. Trading is always short term while investing is long term. The time horizon in trading can be as short as a few minutes to a few days to a few weeks. Whereas in investing, the time horizon can be months to years. Many people day trade or swing trade stocks, currencies, futures, options, ETFs, commodities or other markets. In day trading, a trader opens a position and closes it in the same day making a quick profit. In swing trading, a trader tries to ride a trend in the market as long as it lasts. On the other hand, an investor is least pushed about the short term swings in the market. He or she has a long term time horizon like a few months to even a few years. This long time horizon matches their investment and financial goals!
Now a company’s stock may have a good long term prospects supported by strong fundamentals. But the stock may stay still for a long time before it catches the attention of the media and the investing public before it’s price get’s bid up. So an investor might have to wait for a long time before realizing a return on his or her investment. Many investors can learn a few tricks from day traders that can help them make a quick profit in a matter of days orn weeks instead of months or years.
There is a general problem with so many investors. They fall in love with their investment after doing so much research and committing so much time for the position to work. Now, day traders are always hit and run types. They have developed an innate sense of discipline among themselves that teaches them when to commit money to a trade and when to cut and run. So, many investors when they fall in love with their investments on the long run forget this cardinal rule of trading that you have to cut your losses. Market least care who you are and how long you have been in it.
Now as a momentum investor, you need to look for securities that are going up in prices especially if accompanied by the underlying growth. What this means is that instead of buying low and selling high, what you will be doing is buying high and selling even higher.
One of the tricks that you can learn from day traders is momentum investing. In momentum investing, you look for securities that are expected to go up in prices accompanied by the underlying momentum. When investing, you try to buy low and sell high. In momentum investing, you buy high and sell even higher!
Now most serious momentum investors are infact swing traders who hold positions for a few weeks or a few months. Most of them employ some sort of momentum indicators to help them identify when it is good time to buy a stock. Some of the indicators that can be used is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) and the Stochastic Index.
Now, when doing momentum investing, you need to also do some fundamental research behind the company. As most of the momentum investing done during the dot com bubble was on hearsay without being supported by any strong fundamentals! However, if too many investors start practicing momentum investing, it sometimes leads to bubbles like the tech bubble that happened at the end of 1990s.
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What Are Trend Following Indicators?
February 26, 2010 by Gery Lermann
Filed under Forex Trading
Looking into trend following indicators which is a way that people will use to invest in the stock market. This strategy will be used to compare how stocks have done in the past, the trend of ways they have moved on the stock market.
Basically a way of watching the way the market moves and investing based on those past movements of certain stocks. Use of not only the current market price, but averages for moving, and breakouts will be used to figure out what to do.
When traders do this type of method they will not be forecasting the stocks and what is going to happen. Instead they are simply following a trend that has been shown in the past. Looking to the current prices of the stock, equity levels and what the market’s current volatility. Those are the main components that will be used by the trader when using this method.
This type of method will be used only after the stock has established a trend. In other words not on a new stock that hasn’t yet established any type of trend to it. Price will be one of the main considerations in this method. A person who trades through this method may use indicators to figure out which way the stock will go next.
It will need to be decided how much will be traded during the trend and how long it lasts. When the market is at a higher volatility level size of trading will be reduced in order to cut losses. With trend following indicators, time and price will always be of highest importance.
The following questions will be able to be answered when you use this type of method. Shares that will be traded during the trend, how to enter the market and at what time. Risk to be taken on each trade, cutting of unprofitable stocks, and how to get rid of profitable stocks.
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Deciding Where To Invest
February 24, 2010 by Owen Jones
Filed under Forex Trading
There are quite a few different types of investments out there, and there are many factors, which you should use to determine where you should place your funds.
Of course, deciding where you will invest begins with researching the various types of investments available, determining your risk aversion, and determining your investment style and your financial goals.
If you wanted to purchase a new car, for example, you would do a fair bit of research before making a final decision and a purchase. You would never consider purchasing a car that you had not fully looked over and taken for a test drive. Investing your money works in very much the same manner.
You will, of course, research as much about the prospective investment as you could, and you would want to see how previous investors have done too. It’s just common sense, isn’t it?
Does learning about the stock market and investments take a lot of time? Yes, but it is definitely time well spent. There are numerous books and websites on the topic, and you can even take college level courses on the topic, which is what stock brokers do. With access to the Internet, you can actually play the stock market with fake money in order to get a feel for how it works.
You can make pretend investments in a pretend portfolio often called a ‘Wish List’ and see how they perform. Create a search with any search engine for ‘Stock Market Games’ or ‘Stock Market Simulations’, although almost any online stock broker provides these services. It really is a fantastic way to commence to learn about how investing in the stock market actually works.
Other types of investments external to the stock market do not usually have simulators, so you must learn about those types of investments by reading about them.
As a potential investor, you should study any you can possibly get your hands on about investing, but make sure you start at the very beginning of investment books and websites, or, you will quickly find that you are are hopelessly confused.
Finally, speak with a financial adviser. Tell him your aims and ask them for their proposition. This is their job! A good financial adviser can easily help you decide where to invest your money, and help you set up a plan to achieve all your financial goals. Many advisers will even show you about investing along the way, so make sure to pay very close attention to what they are saying to you!
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What Do Stock Trading Tools Do?
February 12, 2010 by Harry Gadban
Filed under Forex Broker
Just what do stock trading tools accomplish? They can easily offer you just about all of the tips you may need on a individual share to make an knowledgeable judgement whether or not to purchase/sell off it. This may incorporate, technical graphs, info, real-time quotes, commentary, news, business backgrounds, tips, interpretations of charts, predictions, and so forth. It is almost like getting your personal technical analyst to learn and analyse all for you!
Although many this information is available on the web,or in books, the software organizes it into means that you couldn’t with out wasting serious time. It also may possibly contain unique updates, newsletters, or even predictions from awesome stock traders, or high-functioning bots which read and also interpret information.
The approach the software operates is it will draw out a graph belonging to the stocks previous performance. It will after that review the photo to various varieties of ‘trends’ it may well notice. It can additionally evaluate the chart to recent trends in other related stocks or recent events. Many will culminate all of this information and can make a decision in your case, others will merely show you exactly what that they have located and permit you help to make your judgements. Some software program will possibly instantly pay for or market stocks for you. I don’t actually advise that simply because you could possibly comprehend some thing the software program doesn’t.
The software program may possibly additionally look at additional variables, such as insider trading, annual trends (Christmas, new year’s, etc) and others.
A great deal of software package will permit you to research and/or sort out the diverse stocks. Therefore you could ‘ask’ it “what is the most effective stock for me to purchase?”, but you will not get a very clear answer. Sort it based on form of stock and you can see one of the best performing tech stock this year, or maybe one of the most undervalued blue chip stock. Those types of sorting and ordering will give you a marked benefit whenever you start to actually trade.
Keep in mind to do total analysis prior to purchasing a stock. The stock trading tool will not know all. For example, a stock is notice and that is severely undervalued. It’s offering for 20% of it worth. You look at the charts, read the knowledge and make a decision the dip is mostly a fluke and purchase it out. Unfortunately, you find out a few days later the dip was an in house mass sell on the grounds that they knew the provider was going under. This type of issue happens all the time, don’t let it happen to you. Constantly examine inside trades. They’ll, obviously, know things that you don’t about the company. You will find those who make tons of cash inside the stock market only obtain following insider trades and that is all.
Go for what type of stock trading you wish to do, Forex, day trading, possibilities, etc. The list goes on. Some of the most popular for speedy, short-term, but higher chance income is Forex. This involves trading currencies. Currencies are constantly raising and dropping in price and cash could be mad or lost very quickly with this method. Be careful and understand and study concerning the method of trading you are going to be accomplishing prior to doing it!
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Trading Options ” Highway To Riches Or Short Cut To Impoverishment?
February 8, 2010 by Johnny M Junior
Filed under Forex Broker
Trading options has several advantages over trading in ordinary shares (stocks). This method of trading can also be high risk if you do not know what you are doing. We will briefly look at the different scenarios.
The first advantage is that you can realize much bigger profits than if you invested the same amount of money in ordinary shares. The reason is what traders call leverage. If the price of a particular share is for example $100 and you have only $100 to invest, you can only buy a single share. The price of a so-called ‘call option’ could be as little as $.20. If this is so, then it would cost you $20 to control 100 shares of stock.
This means that you can either spend $100 to own just one share of the stock or you can buy one Call contract and control 100 shares for just $20. In this scenario, if there is a large and quick move up, the option investment could potentially make a much larger return on investment. Unfortunately the opposite is also true.
Buying just calls and puts can be a very risky business. We find that it is much safer to trade option spreads. To learn more about option trading, there are many free videos on Youtube. Some of the best will be by sjoptions. They focus on safety and low risk trades.
The traditional function of trading options used to be to hedge an existing investment. If you, for example, had shares in a certain company of which the share price recently went up quite a lot, you can hedge your position by buying put options on that stock. Should the price go down, you will lose money on the shares themselves, but make money on the put options. This is a basic way to protect your investment. The downside is that if the share price should rise, you will in turn make a profit on the shares themselves but lose money on the put options, which will cut into your profits. There are many other ways to hedge with options than this type of option trade.
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The Last Decade in the Financial Markets Recapped
January 5, 2010 by Jonathan Bridges
Filed under Forex Broker
What a tumultuous decade it’s been in the financial markets. We’ve seen peaks and valleys like never before, and it makes you wonder what lies ahead.
Just ten years ago, things were better than they had ever been in the stock market. Just about everything was at an all time high, and things showed no signs of slowing down. People were buying things blindly, despite the fact that P/E ratios were significantly higher than they had ever been.
It seemed like everyone was making a fortune in the stock market. Even taxi drivers were talking about their latest buys, and the mania had gone mainstream like it never had before. People were making more money in a few months’ time than they’d typically make over a matter of years.
Those who sold at the top are extremely fortunate, because few people saw the major correction coming. Everything tanked during the second half of the year 2000 and fortunes were lost just as quickly as they were made.
To think that the indexes were as high as they were seems ludicrous in hindsight. Within the span of a few months, the markets had corrected by over 20%. Late 2001 was even worse, as the events of September 11th brought about new financial worries.
The roller coaster ride continued during the years that followed, as the DJIA broke new ground and set a high mark just five years later. It seemed as if the good times were back, though not as dramatically as the first time around.
At the same time, oil prices hit all-time highs, and things like forex trading became extremely popular. The mania was back and everyone wanted to be a part of it.
As you well know, the end of the decade ended on a poor note, as we’ve been hit with one of the biggest bear markets in history. On the bright side, things look to be slowly improving and we could very well be on our way back up the roller coaster.
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The Basic Facts Of Currency Exchange
December 23, 2009 by Mark Chaplain
Filed under Forex Broker
Currency exchange is the FOREX market. It makes it possible for private corporations and governments to deal with one another. If you’re going to Europe, you go to the bank and exchange your bucks for Euro Bucks as you can’t spend greenbacks in France. The bank takes your forex and packages it with other currency exchanges and then tries to sell it at a better exchange rate than they gave you. That is how they turn a profit.
The foreign exchange market has no physical location and is open for business twenty-four hours per day between Mon. morning in New Zealand thru Fri. night in the East. The average trading volume is over 3 trillion dollars a day. Profit margins are relatively low.
The market trades, normally over 3 trillion dollars a day. Margins are small, but that isn’t an argument when trading in amounts this big.
Against this, about 80% of the trading is done by the ten most active traders, which are huge international banks. These traders make up the top tier of the market. The difference between the bid and ask costs at these levels are extremely narrow and not available to the remainder of the traders. These top tier traders account for 53% of total trading volume. Below the top tier are smaller investment banks, enormous multi-national firms and large hedge funds.
More than seventy percent of the the transactions in this market are hopeful. Individual traders can only take part through foreign exchange brokers. Brokers may trade against their clients and take other side trades which can result in a conflict of interest. The market is moving to control brokers to stop this situation. This points out another difference between forex and the stock markets. Stock brokers are exactly regulated and can face criminal penalties for acting against their client’s interests.
Plenty of the transactions, about 70%, are of a hopeful nature. That is, they are done in the hopes of earning a return rather than an exchange for practical use. Average investors can only get access to this market through a currency exchange broker. Till recently, their were few restrictions on the practices of the brokers. There is a continuing effort to break down and eliminate brokers who take trades that are in contest with the best interests of their clients.
Like most investments, forex is hopeful. Some people turn a profit and others lose money. When the exchange rates float too much, investors usually run for historically stable currencies like the Swiss franc, which drives up the rate of exchange for the franc.
There are a few kinds of derivatives with assorted levels of risk available to tiny investors. The most typical derivative is the futures contract which is generally for three months. It is similar to futures contacts traded on the commodities market. The spot contract is a futures contract for a brief period of time, typically a couple of days. The forward contract helps limit risk because the money is exchanged on an agreed on date in the future. One kind of forward contract is known as a swap, where the two parties exchange currency for a fixed upon period. The safest derivative is the currency exchange option. Rather like a stock option, it gives the holder the legal right to exchange currency for a formerly agreed rate at an agreed on date, but the holder has no need to make the exchange.
The forex market is growing rapidly and offers profitable investment potential for traders that know the market. Find a reputable broker by talking to other backers in this market. Learn all you can and stay current on the market trends. If you trade sensibly you can make a respectable profit. It also has the advantage of permitting you to liquidate your assets when you want them. Foreign exchange is one of the better investment strategies available to small investors.
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The Fastest Ways to Realize Enormous Investment Gains
December 22, 2009 by Travis Packer
Filed under Forex Broker
If you’ve ever invested money, I’m sure you can relate to the thrill that a great investment or trade brings. Few things in this world beat the rush that comes with making money this way.
As a result, people are always chasing the next big thing in the investment world to try to maximize their returns. About ten years ago, we saw a huge boom in Internet stocks. Even though things eventually crashed, some fortunes were made in the process.
At the moment, there are quite a few opportunities like this. Since the market has moved so heavily in both directions during the course of the last year, a lot of money has been lost and made.
With volatility comes opportunity. Here are three areas that might present themselves as high upside investment opportunities. Whether you’re long or short, it’s all about timing these things right.
If you’ve never heard of an ETF, you’ve missed out on the biggest craze in the equities markets during the last two years. These are tracking devices that tie themselves directly to indexes. When the index goes up, the ETF goes up, and vice versa.
Another high risk situation, but one with high reward, is that of the options markets. An options trade can yield you as much as ten times your investment or more within a matter of days or weeks if played right. On the same note, you could easily lose your entire investment if things don’t go your way. Therefore, it’s never advisable to throw all of your money into an options trade.
If you’re interested in profiting from the growth or demise of other economies, you should definitely look into Forex trading. This all has to do with the foreign exchange market and millions of people actively trade Forex currencies.
Try any of these out if you’re short on investment ideas. Just remember though – where there’s reward, there’s risk.
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